Page 70 - World Of Nurol Magazine 28
P. 70

“Considering the fact that

             banking relies on trust, it                                    Can you share your expectations regarding interests in the

             is important for the auto                                      following periods? (Deposit interests, loan interests…)

             control systems to create an                                   Summer is coming; as it is a period in which the economy
                                                                            slows down and due to the indications of deceleration in the
             environment of trust.”                                         world economy, I expect a 2-point decline in the interests.
                                                                            It may later increase again. If long-term foreign funds enter
                                                                            the Turkish market, this may become permanent.


                                                                            What  are your  estimates  regarding  the  end-of-the-year
                                                                            inflation, growth, current deficit and foreign currency?
                                                                            What risks can the political changes bring?

                                                                            It is difficult to estimate the economic estimations due to
                                                                            the reasons I have stated above, as they can change any
                                                                            time. However, in current conditions, the inflation will be
                                                                            at 10%; the growth may be between 3% - 3,5 and if we only
                                                                            take USD as the foreign currency, I expect it to be around
                                                                            4-4,05. The current deficit continues its increase despite
                                                                            the increase trend in the export. It may reach 4,2% of the
                                                                            GNP.  It may  be roughly  33,6 billion  USD.  I would  like to
                                                                            stress that these estimates are within today’s conditions.
                                                                            These numbers may also change based on the changing
                                                                            conjuncture.


                                                                            What are your precautions and measures in this regard?

                                                                            We apply a lower-risk but careful loan policy despite
                 profitability of the banks continues in a highly increasing   everything. We held a strategy meeting by the end of last
                 way. However, the rate of increase started to decline. It is   year as the senior management and board of directors of
                 not possible know what we will end up facing when the      the bank and created the 2017 budget. We created our plans
                 reimbursement periods of the deferred loans begin. It is   in a way that is open for positive surprise developments
                 possible to point out that some of them will not be able to be   but in a quite conservative structure. Of course, unclear
                 reimbursed and I hope this will not cause a bottleneck in the   environments  may always pose an advantageous
                 sector. In this sense, it is possible to state that no problems   environment for good bankers as long as we are careful and
                 will occur until the middle of 2018 as a short-term estimate.  conduct a good risk management.

                 Do you think the regulations of BRSA in investment banking   What are the middle- and long-term plans of NurolBank?
                 are positive? Do you have different expectations in this
                 regard?                                                    Being the best in Turkey and then in the region, which had
                                                                            been determined before I joined and which I also support. I
                 Investment  banking  is  in  its infancy in  Turkey, further   think this brief statement explains everything.
                 development of which requires supporting regulations. There
                 is always a need for financial institutions that can conduct the   Can you provide us with the information regarding the
                 transactions that do not follow the business model of deposit   changes in the financial structure of the bank in the last
                 banks in a set of rules.                                   10 years?


                 In this sense, investment banking is needed in the developing   Although it is not possible to compare the developments
                 economy of Turkey and the ones available need to be        over the last three and a half years with the past, it is not
                 supported.                                                 easy to reach around 22% from a period when ROE was







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         28 SAYI DERGI NUROL ING.indd   70                                                                                  20.07.2017   22:28:29
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